Air Cargo 2030 Consolidation or Chaos

The global air cargo industry stands at a crossroads as it approaches 2030. Despite accounting for just 1% of global trade volume, air cargo facilitates over 35% of global trade value, underlining its indispensable role in global commerce. The post-pandemic years revealed both the resilience and fragility of supply chains, bringing to light systemic inefficiencies from capacity shortages to regulatory fragmentation that shape the current discourse: Will the next decade bring consolidation or chaos?

This whitepaper examines this question through the lens of economic indicators, structural shifts, e-commerce transformation, supply chain diversification, and the growing political influence on global trade. Based on insights shared during Session 01 of the Air Cargo Forum along with supporting statistics, the document outlines three emerging scenarios for 2030, defines the enabling pillars for sustainable growth, and proposes a roadmap to accelerate resilience, competitiveness, and global market diversification.

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The central argument is clear: the future is neither consolidation nor chaos, but a diversified opportunity landscape, characterised by regional growth centres, e-commerce dominance, liberalised cargo policies, smarter capacity planning, and digitally predictive logistics ecosystems.

Read the Whitepaper